Farmers Almanacs Vs. Modern Science: Which Winter 2023-2024 Forecast Will Win Out?
Hey! What’s the winter 2023-2024 forecast looking like? Wanting to know what future weather will bring resonates with just about everybody, writes Paul Rusnak at Growing Produce. Mother Nature impacts us all in some shape or form on a daily basis. For farmers, staying a step ahead of the weather can make or break their livelihood. This is where extended seasonal forecasts come in.
Today’s modern technology allows for super-detailed outlooks on temperature, precipitation, among other data.
Conversely, long-running publications The Old Farmer’s Almanac and the Farmers’ Almanac have been providing a rustic take on climatological forecasts for more than two centuries each. Despite the older-school approach, the Almanacs remain popular. In fact, the Farmers’ Almanac states many longtime followers maintain its forecasts are 80% to 85% accurate. That’s one helluva record. But, between today’s modern science and the proprietary methodologies used by the Almanacs, which would win in extended weather forecast accuracy?
Recently, Dr. Ray Schmitt, President & Co-founder of Salient, a software development company that specializes in forecasting, took on this provocative topic in a blog titled “The outlook for winter 2023-2024: Modern science vs. the Farmer’s Almanac.”
Schmitt writes: “The traditional release of the winter forecasts from dueling publications Farmers’ Almanac and The Old Farmer’s Almanac provides an irresistible opportunity to contrast those folksy prognostications with Salient’s innovative subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) forecasting technology.”
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