Biofuels: Future Challenges & Opportunities

You can’t pick up a newspaper or watch the news these days without seeing something about biofuels. The Midwest, with its concentration of current and proposed biofuel processing plants, has been a hub of discussion about the impact investments in biofuel processing capacity will have on agriculture in general, and on the retail dealerships’ businesses specifically. This year, growers are betting on higher prices with corn acres projected to jump dramatically, but what does that mean for retail dealers — both this season and in the future?

As part of the 12th Annual Precision Agriculture Survey sponsored by CropLife magazine and Purdue University’s Center for Food and Agricultural Business, retail dealers were asked what impact they thought the additional investment in biofuel processing capacity would have in their markets — both this next year as well over the next three to five years. The following results are based on responses from the 388 dealerships who responded from the Midwestern states.

To get a better feel for what dealers expected in the short term, survey respondents were asked to indicate their agreement or disagreement with several statements about the impact the increase in biofuel processing capacity was having in their markets this year. Their responses are shown in Figure 9. Almost three-quarters of the respondents agreed or strongly agreed that this year there would be a major impact on grower input purchase decisions in their market. Almost as many respondents (71%) were expecting fertilizer supplies to be tight this year with potentially some supply shortages. Two-thirds of the dealers (67%) agreed that, due to the increased investment in biofuel processing capacity, growers were more interested in maximizing yield this year compared to a year ago.

Finding Where Precision Fits In

Respondents were less likely to agree that there would be an increased demand for precision services this year (28% thought there would be increased demand while 44% disagreed). And respondents were evenly split on whether or not the interest in biofuels would be a short run phenomenon (three years or less), with one-quarter of the respondents agreeing it would be short-term and one-quarter disagreeing (with the remaining neither agreeing nor disagreeing). Because of the uncertainty of the long-term impact, over half of the respondents (55%) said they would not be purchasing or leasing additional application equipment this year and only 16% agreed that they would purchase or lease more equipment as a direct result of the investment in biofuels processing capacity.

To get a better understanding of what impact Midwestern dealerships expected biofuels to have on their businesses in the longer term, respondents were asked to comment in an open-ended question on what they were expecting in the next three to five years. Their comments were coded in order to get a better summary of what the group as a whole was saying and the summary is shown in Figure 10.

In addition to the direct impacts of more corn acreage, either through more continuous corn production or changes from other crops to corn production (mentioned by 37% of the respondents) and continued increased fertilizer demand (mentioned by 28% of the respondents), the range of expected effects was diverse, probably reflecting the wide range of discussions going on throughout the Midwest (Figure 2). Though some dealers were expecting a positive overall impact with increased profits for both crop input dealers and growers, there was plenty of doubt expressed about the long term benefits of the increased production of biofuels, from the effect on grain storage requirements to the impact on livestock production and the costs of producing other crops.

Some of the comments respondents made included the following:

■ It will be a positive influence more than likely. Demand for nitrogen products will be the biggest factor. Agriculture may be fun again?

■ Better markets, more profits to the farmer, more money to spend with me.

■ Growers’ net worth will increase, many will try to expand. Cash rents will go up, land values will increase, corn acres will expand, growers will spend money to try to store more fertilizer and chemicals on farm. More growers will purchase their own application equipment.

■ Where are we going to store all this corn?

■ It has the distinct possibility of chasing livestock production out of the U.S. We are staring at a huge train wreck.

■ Tight fertilizer supplies in ALL areas for ALL crops. Corn and beans are not all that we should think about. What about small grains and hay that are affected by all of the above?

As interest in biofuels continues to grow, the overall impact on specific areas of agriculture will continue to become more clear. Crop input dealers’ challenge will be how to respond to changes in customer needs while remaining flexible enough to continue to respond to an uncertain, evolving future.

 

Topics:

Leave a Reply

Crop Inputs Stories

Syngenta headquarters in Basel, Switzerland
Crop InputsFortune: Inside China’s $43 Billion Bid for Food Security
April 26, 2017
(Via Fortune.com) The worst famine in human history occurred in China from 1959 to 1961. An estimated 34 million people Read More
Syngenta Sign
Crop InputsSyngenta Announces Changes in Board of Directors
April 26, 2017
ChemChina and Syngenta announced changes relating to the new Board of Directors of Syngenta following the closing of the ChemChina Read More
Crop InputsBioSafe Systems Introduces PerCarb Broad-Spectrum Bactericide / Fungicide
April 26, 2017
BioSafe Systems announces PerCarb (Sodium Carbonate Peroxyhydrate), a new alternative to potassium bicarbonate and lime sulfur products for use in Read More
Donald Trump
Crop InputsTrump Targets Agriculture with Latest Executive Order
April 26, 2017
(Via UPI.com) President Donald Trump on Tuesday took executive action in an effort to help grow the domestic agriculture industry Read More
Trending Articles
Crop InputsFlying Under the Radar No More, FMC Goes Big
April 13, 2017
Describing FMC as “under the radar,” admittedly, is probably a stretch. But in a snap of the fingers, FMC upped Read More
Young Corn Plants
Crop NutritionStill Hunting Yields
April 1, 2017
There’s no denying it — the agricultural marketplace today is undergoing a fundamental shift in fortunes. Not too many years Read More
Nutrients for Life Foundation Teacher
FertilizerNutrients For Life Foundation Celebrates 10 Years Teaching Fertilizer Education
March 23, 2017
Those in agriculture know fertilizer is a vital ingredient to grow strong, productive crops. In fact, fertilizer is responsible for Read More
AdjuvantsA New Weed-Control Era Begins: But First, One Last Obstacle
March 4, 2017
There is trepidation, there is reluctance, and there is excitement. Ag retailers feel it all about the new dicamba and Read More
LIFT Academy video screenshot
Crop InputsLIFT Agriculture Academy: A Q&A With West Central Distribution’s Dean Hendrickson
March 1, 2017
West Central Distribution recently launched its LIFT Agriculture Academy, a new, premiere training and professional development resource for West Central’s ag Read More
Farmer and aptop
Matt Hopkins10 Warning Signs Your Website Is Grossly Outdated
February 8, 2017
Your Website is often a visitor’s first impression of your ag retail business. A positive first impression can set the Read More
Latest News
ManagementWashington Update, Dow-DuPont Earnings, and the Passing…
April 27, 2017
Editors Paul Schrimpf and Eric Sfiligoj talk about the latest Beltway news, crop protection company 1st quarter numbers, and the Read More
BRANDT
CropLife 100Former PotashCorp COO Joins BRANDT Board
April 27, 2017
BRANDT has announced the appointment of another industry veteran to its board of directors. David Delaney, most recently EVP and Read More
Syngenta headquarters in Basel, Switzerland
Crop InputsFortune: Inside China’s $43 Billion Bid for Food …
April 26, 2017
(Via Fortune.com) The worst famine in human history occurred in China from 1959 to 1961. An estimated 34 million people Read More
Syngenta Sign
Crop InputsSyngenta Announces Changes in Board of Directors
April 26, 2017
ChemChina and Syngenta announced changes relating to the new Board of Directors of Syngenta following the closing of the ChemChina Read More
Crop InputsBioSafe Systems Introduces PerCarb Broad-Spectrum Bacte…
April 26, 2017
BioSafe Systems announces PerCarb (Sodium Carbonate Peroxyhydrate), a new alternative to potassium bicarbonate and lime sulfur products for use in Read More
Deere Twitter
EquipmentTop 10 Twitter Pics for #Plant17
April 26, 2017
Despite some wet weather in parts of the Midwest, growers and ag retailers are working feverishly to plant this year’s Read More
Donald Trump
Crop InputsTrump Targets Agriculture with Latest Executive Order
April 26, 2017
(Via UPI.com) President Donald Trump on Tuesday took executive action in an effort to help grow the domestic agriculture industry Read More
AGCO Ratliff featured
EquipmentAGCO Mourns Passing of Company Founder, Industry Vision…
April 25, 2017
AGCO Corp., a worldwide manufacturer and distributor of agricultural equipment and solutions, mourns the passing of founder and former President, Read More
Engenia soybeans
Crop InputsINNVICTIS CROP CARE Introduces VANDAL MOC Soybean Herbi…
April 25, 2017
INNVICTIS CROP CARE, LLC has announced the U.S. EPA registration for VANDAL MOC, a combination of sulfentrazone plus metolachlor. VANDAL Read More
Kochia
HerbicidesINNVICTIS CROP CARE Launches STAVE Post-Emerge Broadlea…
April 25, 2017
INNVICTIS CROP CARE, LLC has introduced STAVE as the newest addition to­ its expanding portfolio. STAVE will be a great Read More
Sonny Perdue
LegislationSonny Perdue Confirmed by Senate as Next Agriculture Se…
April 25, 2017
After months without a secretary of agriculture, the Senate voted Monday evening to confirm former Georgia Gov. Sonny Perdue to Read More
BPIA logo
Seed/BiotechBPIA Files Comments with USDA
April 24, 2017
The Biological Products Industry Alliance (BPIA) has filed comments with the USDA’s Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service (APHIS) Plant Read More
Eric SfiligojHope for Application Equipment Sales
April 24, 2017
The old saying goes that a “rising tide lifts all boats.” If this is indeed the case, then things may Read More
Stewardship video screenshot
ManagementNew Video Raises Awareness of 2,4-D Stewardship
April 24, 2017
A new public service video developed and produced by the 2,4-D Research Task Force, in conjunction with the American Soybean Read More
ManagementAn Inside Look at Award Winning Ag Retailer Gar Tooteli…
April 20, 2017
CropLife Editor Eric Sfiligoj discusses An Inside Look at Award Winning Ag Retailer Gar Tootelian Read More
Students Soybean Field
Industry NewsMACA Announces 2017 Young Leader Scholarship Recipients
April 19, 2017
The Mid America CropLife Association (MACA) Board of Directors selected 11 college students to receive the MACA Young Leader Scholarship Read More
Growmark FS Outlet
SoftwareKnoa Software Solution Helps GROWMARK Boost System Perf…
April 19, 2017
Knoa Software, a leading provider of user experience management (UEM) software, has announced that GROWMARK, Inc., a regional agricultural cooperative Read More
Crop InputsFBN Publishes ‘Voice of the Farmer’ Agricul…
April 17, 2017
Farmer’s Business Network (FBN) released today its “The Voice of the Farmer”, which the company is describing as “a special Read More